Jason Radowitz previews Thursday’s high profile clash between the New York Yankees and Chicago White Sox and picks the best bet from the gamer
The New York Yankees are coming off a split doubleheader at home against the New York Mets. Both games went far over with their totals. The Yankees took the first but got beat up in the second game. On Tuesday, the Yankees used five relief pitchers, however, thankfully, the Yankees were given an off-day yesterday to prepare for their four game series on the road in Chicago against the White Sox on June 13. While the Yankees (41-25) have struggled finding consistent starting pitching, J.A. Happ (6-3; 4.48 ERA), the most reliable Yankees starter will take the mound in Game 1 of the series against the White Sox (32-34), facing off against former Yankee, Ivan Nova (3-5 6.28 ERA).
The White Sox are 9-5 in their last 14 games. Eloy Jiminez, who started his rookie campaign slowly with a month long sprained ankle injury, is starting to heat up after hitting his first homerun in Chicago on Tuesday against the Washington Nationals. In the last seven games, Jiminez is batting .333 with three homers and two doubles, raising his average to .240 on the year. However, it is important to note that Jiminez has just five hits in 29 at bats against lefties, so far this season. Happ is lefty! However, Tim Anderson, one of the brighter surprises this season, is hitting .538 in 13 at bats against Happ. He’s taken him deep once. Anderson and James McCann are two players to watch in their matchup against Happ.
But if you thought the Yankees pitching has been questionable, the White Sox are just that much worse. The White Sox team ERA is 4.96 (6th worst in baseball) compared to the Yankees 3.99 ERA (7th best in baseball). The White Sox pitching is even worse with a 5.39 ERA. The Yankees pitching struggles have been more apparent on the road, however, with a 4.75 ERA. Lastly, the Yankees average 6 runs on the road per game, which is the second highest on the road in the MLB. The White Sox average 4.21 runs at home. There’s almost a two run gap!
Yankees vs. White Sox Key Stats
– J.A. Happ is 5-0 with a 3.82 ERA in his last six starts.
— Happ is 4-3 with a 4.79 ERA against the White Sox in seven career starts.
– Yankees have homered in 15 straight games.
– Ivan Nova is 0-3 with a 9.39 ERA in five starts at home this season.
– Since leaving the Yankees, Nova is 1-1 with a 1.38 ERA in two starts. — The White Sox are 19-29 (39%) as Underdogs
Yankees vs. White Sox Prediction
All signs point to the Yankees taking game one against the White Sox. The White Sox are having trouble beating teams that have won 54 percent (or above) of games this season losing 67 percent of the time. In the Yankees/White Sox three-game series earlier in the season, the White Sox took two of three. This Yankees lineup is lethal on the road and when you pair the Yankees bats to Ivan Nova’s numbers at home; IT’S A NO BRAINER. Times have changed with the Yankees. They’re a confident group and they’re figuring out ways to get the job done. I’m trusting J.A. Happ and what he’s been able to do this year. There’s no way I’m putting any money on Ivan Nova who has been atrocious so far this season (especially at home). The Yankees bats will come alive and Happ will do enough to give the Yankees a win in their first game of four against Chicago. There’s actually value at -164. I would also recommend taking spread using -0.5 at -120 for the Yankees. -0.5 is the spread for the first five innings. There’s some legitimate value there as well when matching up Nova and Happ. I expect the Yankees to pounce on Nova early. Happ should settle in for a nice five innings.
Yankees v White Sox Pick:
New York Yankees Money Line -164