Thanksgiving Day Games: Picks, Previews, and Predictions

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Gobble Gobble! Thanksgiving is here and with it we have tradition: Football.

NFL SEASON RECORD ATS: 42-31-2

Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions


When Mitchell Trubisky is the best QB in the game, you know it’s not very exciting. That’s because Lions signal caller Matthew Stafford is still ailing with a back injury. Safe to say, points may be hard to come by in this one.

The Bears are coming off a 19-14 victory over the Giants in a game where they really struggled to put the 2-win Giants to bed. That sound be concerning for Bears fans. The good news is that the Lions aren’t much better, and are coming off a loss to the previously 1-win Redskins. These teams aren’t doing so well right now.

The Bears are 3.5 point road favorites in this one, but I’m staying away from the line in this one, and targeting the total, which is 38.5. These two teams scored 19 and 16 points respectively last week, and I don’t envision too much scoring today. I’m riding with the under 38.5, expecting a big performance from the Bears D.

BONUS PICK: Bears -2.5 (Buy-point)

Buffalo Bills at Dallas Cowboys

Oh boy, Jason Garrett’s seat is officially HOT. The Cowboys are coming off a 13-9 loss to the Patriots in New England. Now normally, losing to the best team in football by 4 points on their home field is nothing to be mad about. However, it’s not that the Cowboys lost, it’s how they lost.

They were thoroughly outcoached, making mistake after mistake and wasting a golden opportunity to steal a victory. Their defense played admirable, and the longest drive they let Tom Brady build was 47 yards. They still lost. Do you see why Jerry Jones is frustrated?

The Bills are coming off a 20-3 win against the Broncos, and now sit at 8-3 on the season. The Bills are a good team, but they haven’t beaten anyone particularly impressive this season. Josh Allen has been good behind center, combining timely throws with his running ability, and the Bills have a two-headed rushing attack with Devin Singletary and old reliable, Frank Gore. 

The Cowboys are 6.5 point home favorites in this one. I think they get off to a slow start, but eventually cover with a bounce-back game from Dak Prescott and Amari Cooper, who was held to 0 catches last week. Take the Cowboys in a relatively close game to pull away at the end.

New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons

3 weeks ago, the Falcons marched into New Orleans as a 1-win team and dominated the game in a 26-9 victory. That was…unexpected. The Saints responded with 2 straight wins against the Buccaneers and Panthers to right the ship, and now sit at 9-2 on the season.

The Falcons fell back to earth last week with a 35-22 loss to the Buccaneers in which Jameis Winston had a field day with their defense. The Falcons sit at 3-8 in a disappointing season for everyone involved. This may be HC Dan Quinn’s last season at the helm.

The Saints are 7.5 point road favorites in this one. I expect their to be some scoring in this one, and think the Saints will do that much more often than Atlanta. Give me the Saints at 7.5 in a two-score victory in my eyes.

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