Saturday’s Major League Baseball slate starts at 4pm and Jason Radowtiz has found plenty of spots to take advantage of what he considers to be generous lines.
For Saturday’s weekend slate, there’s some fantastic pitchers gaining some solid value. The balls might be juiced, but if you can’t connect with the ball as a hitter, it won’t matter. Clayton Kershaw takes the mound against the Nationals on the road where the line is only at -175 (take that immediately and read below on why.) We’ve also got the Yankees and Red Sox. Both teams are showing no signs of slowing down with their bats. Saturday could be different. I’m not going to be looking at the Yankees/Red Sox game. I’m sorry. But it’s always a toss-up. If you’re going to choose the rivalry match-up (if you must), I would look at the Yankees in this match-up with the total going over. Moving on to my actual picks below.
Dodgers @ Nationals 4:05 pm
The Dodgers are sending out their ace Clayton Kershaw (8-2; 2.84 ERA) on the road against Washington. It seems like Clayton is really hitting on all cylinders lately. In his last 19 innings pitched, he’s allowed two earned runs on 11 hits, while striking out 26 batters. He’s only walked four. In July, Kershaw has accumulated an ERA of .95 in three starts. Kershaw hasn’t faced the Nationals in Washington dating back until 2015. In that game, Kershaw went eight shutout innings with 14 strikeouts. Yup…14 strikeouts. On the other side, Joe Ross (0-2; 9:45 ERA) was just recently announced as the starter for the Nationals. Ross has mainly come out of the bullpen this year. He most recently contributed a start against the Braves on July 21 where he allowed three runs on eight hits in a little over five innings. This year, lefties are batting .480 against Ross in 25 AB’s. The Dodgers have quite a few lefty sluggers who are likely going to have a field day. With Kershaw pitching and the lefties going to work, I’m willing to go a little further and use the run line here.
Diamondbacks @ Marlins 6:10 pm
The Marlins will be sending out rookie sensation Jordan Yamamoto (4-1 2.61 ERA) who is coming off an early exit last game against those Dodgers. He allowed five runs on four hits in four innings. The first game of his career where he didn’t go at least five innings. The Diamondbacks have announced that they’ll be sending out their rookie pitcher in Alex Young (3-0 2.38 ERA). Young has been solid for the D-Backs however he is also coming off an early exit after allowing four runs on three hits in four innings. Yamamoto and Young combined to allow seven hits combined in their last game, only to give up a combined nine runs. Look for both pitchers to get back to form in this one. I don’t know what the outcome will be when the bullpens have to come in. I’ll take under five runs in the first five innings.
Braves @ Phillies 7:05 pm
The Phillies are sending out Zach Eflin (7-10 4.25 ERA) at home against Max Fried (10-4 4.08 ERA) of the Braves. The Phillies have lost five of Eflin’s last six starts. The Braves have won six of Fried’s last eight starts. Fried had been on the injured list due to a blister but is confident he’ll get back to shape Saturday night. On the other hand, Eflin has been a disaster for the Phillies. In his last five starts, Eflin has allowed at least three runs. In his last three starts, Eflin has an ERA of 11.08. Pretty bad if you ask me. And for the Phillies’ bats, Franco, Harper, Hoskins, Realmuto have hit a combined 3 hits (3-20 .150 batting average). The moneyline for the Braves is crazy when looking at the pitching match-up. Take the Braves here.