Premier League 19/20 MatchDay 15: Ole’s Last Stand, and a Dash of Merseyside Derby


Welcome back fat ass. I hope the turkey, ham, and mac & cheese is hibernating in your stomach because there is no need to move away from the TV this week. The Premier League is giving us a sprinkle of holiday joy as we have fixtures from Tuesday to Thursday before another round of weekend fixtures. So many games, so many winners, it’s gambling season people. Time to win some money to pay off the holiday gifts you’ll be purchasing for your loved ones.

2-3 was the weekend record that damages my overall record just a tad, but we are still on a profiting slope. So continue to ride with me and let’s see what cards Vegas is laying down for this mid-week slate!

Crystal Palace vs. Bournemouth

Palace and Bournemouth will be the first to kick off this mid-week Premier League slate with the Eagles snapping a seven-game winless streak away at Burnley. Zaha, who could be playing his last few games for Palace, has scored in his second consecutive game. Whether he is trying to increase his value or he is trying to give the Eagles a proper goodbye present, he is showcasing his worth. Bournemouth played a dominant game against the Spurs but the score didn’t help accent their dominance. Nathan Ake’s defense could not handle a rejuvenated Deli Alli as he took an extraordinary touch past two Bournemouth defenders to hand the Cherries their third straight loss in the Premier League.


  • Palace are unbeaten in their last 3 home games vs. Bournemouth
  • When the two teams play at Selhurst Park, an average of 4.3 goals occur (4 total games played)
  • Palace won 1 of last 9 evening kick-offs in the PL

Both teams should be fairly happy with their current standings in the Premier League sitting at 11th and 12th place. Crystal Palace have snapped their winless streak, but Bournemouth needs to snap their losing streak. I always go against the trends. Crystal Palace seems to be afraid of the dark, and with a combination of a hungry Bournemouth team coming to town, I think it’s a safe bet to root for the Cherries for the first mid-week game.

Burnley vs. Manchester City

Burnley come off a defeat to Crystal Palace at home, and Manchester City are struggling to bolster their offense. Sergio Aguero’s injury has been detrimental to Pep’s strategic plans as City have scored three goals in their last two fixtures in all competitions. Usually, the Cityzens are scoring three goals at the half, really missing Aguero’s presence on the pitch. Burnley are being their usual inconsistent selves as they lose 2-0 to Palace after winning their previous two Premier League games 3-0 (vs. West Ham & vs. Watford). Here is a crazy stat about Burnley, they are unbeaten against teams lower than them in the standings, and are winless against teams above them in the standings. It’s something to keep in mind for future Burnley bets.


  • Burnley won 1 of 10 PL fixtures vs. City
  • City have not won back-to-back away games at Burnley since 1968
  • City won 18 of last 19 evening kick-offs in the PL

City, City, City will win this game, but the fact that the oddsmakers are still allocating this game at 3.5 total goals baffles me. Manchester City are a different team to play against when you don’t have to worry about the most consistent striker the Premier League. We all figured Newcastle would get destroyed after City tied Shakhtar in the Champions League, but that was not the case. The under 3.5 is your sure winner.

Liverpool vs. Everton

The Merseyside derby. A one of a kind derby that splits one city by a river. A derby where you either take the red pill or the blue pill. However, this will be the least fierce derby of them all as Liverpool are dominant and the Toffees are useless. Everton lost to Leicester in a fashion where you can only sit in the corner and cry, only to cry a lot more moving forward. Iheanacho’s goal was ruled offsides until VAR stepped in that gave the Foxes the 95th-minute winner. Marco Silva’s job is done with the Toffees, but a decision can’t be made due to the number of fixtures about to be played in the Premier League. This will be his last two games to manage Everton. As for Liverpool, all is right in their world.


  • Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 17 PL games against Everton
  • Everton haven’t won a league game at Anfield since 1999
  • In Mid-week games, Liverpool haven’t lost to Everton since 1985

You better take the red pill. Marco Silva’s farewell tour will give Everton fans a larger boot to kick him out of their family. There is a 26 point gap between the two sides. But Liverpool has taken their foot off the gas a little recently. Although Virgil scored a brace against Brighton, defensively they haven’t kept a clean sheet since playing Sheffield United back in September (In all competitions). Adrian was the keeper, who will be starting this fixture due to Allison’s red card against Brighton. This is good news for us bettors!

Sheffield United vs. Newcastle United

A battle of the United’s is scheduled a one of Thursday’s slate of games. Sheffield are loving the world right now as they sit in 7th place in the Premier League standings and only one point behind for a European spot. Nothing could be separated between the Blades and the Wolves over the weekend which brings Sheffield’s unbeaten streak to seven consecutive games. Not too shabby for a recently promoted team. Steve Bruce has found the spark in his Newcastle team as they have only lost one game in their last five fixtures, note-ably tying Manchester City at home most recently. Jonjo Shelvey blasted one past Edison in the final minutes to gain a point against the Cityzens.


  • Newcastle won 5 of their last 6 fixtures vs. Sheffield
  • Sheffield scored 3 goals in each of their last 2 PL home games
  • Newcastle lost 2 of last 21 league games in Yorkshire (teams in Yorkshire: She. Wednesday / Huddersfield / She. United)

Although Newcastle are starting to figure things out, their results aren’t as arousing after beating Manchester United and losing to Chelsea 1-0. They tied the Wolves and City, they lost to Aston Villa away. Newcastle has not won an away fixture since beating the Spurs back in August. Sheffield have won four home games out of their last eight. I like Sheffield United in this fixture. They are defensively more sound at home.

The Chosen One returns to Old Trafford where I’m sure he will be welcomed with boo’s and ‘You’re a Wanker’ chants. Thankfully for Ole, there will be less attention to his problems for this fixture. But his luck isn’t turning around as much as he hoped after seeing his side come back against Sheffield United. Manchester United defensively shut off after Lindelof’s goal against Aston Villa that saw Tyrone Mings score the equalizer two minutes later. Juan Mata was the sole change in Ole’s lineup that proved to not be the difference maker as the questions pile up on Ole’s future as Manchester United manager. On the other hand, Mourinho has changed the Tottenham dynamic where you physically see the difference in each player. Look at the freedom he has given Deli Alli and how it’s worked scoring in three consecutive fixtures in all competitions. For the defensive-minded manager Mourinho is known to be, it seems he has focused all of his attention surrounding Kane, Alli, and Son. Although, Deli Alli did get assisted by a long ball from Alderweireld that could be the ‘humble’ change Mourinho talked about in his first press conference as Spurs manager.


  • United lost 3 of their last 7 home PL fixtures vs. Spurs
  • United is on their worst league start since ’88-’89 season
  • Last season, the away side won in both fixtures, after the home side won 7 consecutively

January is just around the corner, and Manchester United have to make a decision whether they want Ole to spend their money during the transfer window. I think this game will decide his fate. Losing to Mourinho, who Ole took over for at United, will leave a terrible taste in United’s mouth and we all know Mourinho will let them know their mistakes. I don’t think Manchester United will be able to do anything to stop a free-roaming Deli Alli. Although Manchester United haven’t been beaten at home since losing to Crystal Palace, I think they are due for another home loss. Spurs Money Line is your Game Of The Week bet!

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