Al Walsh previews this week’s 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota and shares his best bets ahead of the tournament.
This weekend we’re heading out to Blaine, Minnesota for the 3M Open. While you might think The Land of 10,000 Lakes isn’t great for golfing, it’s quite the contrary. The PGA Tour has been coming here for around two decades, with low-scoring rounds that make it enjoyable to watch. TPC Twin Cities has a total of 27 water hazards that will make it a challenge as always.
Unfortunately, this week’s field of golfers won’t be as talented as last week’s at the Memorial Tournament. You’ll notice the names at the top of the list, but dumpster diving may be absolutely necessary for those of you building DFS lineups.
Without further ado, let’s dive into some of the particulars that can help us win some money this weekend.
Watch the 3M Open on Television
Thursday-Friday: 2:30 p.m.-6:30 p.m. ET (Golf Channel)
Saturday-Sunday: 1 p.m.-3 p.m. ET (Golf Channel), 3 p.m.-6 p.m. ET (CBS)
Watch the 3M Open on PGA Tour Live
Thursday-Friday: 7:45 a.m.-6:30 p.m. (Featured Groups)
Saturday-Sunday: 8 a.m.-3 p.m. (Featured Groups), 3 p.m.-6 p.m. ET (Featured Holes)
PGA Tour 3M Open Preview
TPC Twin Cities
Par 72 – 7,164 yards (6,551 meters)
Thursday: 84 high/72 low – 10% chance of rain
Friday: 92 high/76 low – 20% chance of rain
Saturday: 91 high/73 low – 60% chance of rain
Sunday: 88 high/65 low – 50% chance of rain
Last Weekend’s Results at Muirfield Village Golf Course (Dublin, Ohio)
1. Jon Rahm (-9)
2. Ryan Palmer (-6)
3. Matthew Fitzpatrick (-5)
T4. Matt Wallace (-4)
T4. Jason Day (-4)
2019: Matthew Wolff (-21)
2018: Kenny Perry (-21)
2017: Paul Goydos (-20)
2016: Joe Durant (-19)
2015: Kenny Perry (-18)
2014: Kenny Perry (-23)
Greens in Regulation
Par-4 Scoring (450-500)
Strokes Gained – Approach
Strokes Gained – Off the Tee
Favorites (according to DraftKings Sportsbook)
Dustin Johnson [Win: +1200 | T5: +275 | T10: +150]
Tony Finau [Win: +1400 | T5: +300 | T10: +150]
Brooks Koepka [Win: +1400 | T5: +300 | T10: +163]
Tommy Fleetwood [Win: +1700 | T5: +450 | T10: +200]
Paul Casey [Win: +1800 | T5: +450 | T10: +200]
PGA Tour 3M Open Picks (DraftKings Betting Odds)
Dustin Johnson (+1200) and Brooks Koepka (+1400) to win
This isn’t a method I would typically endorse, but you can put $100 each on Johnson and Koepka and possibly walk away at least $1000 richer if one wins. Hell, $10 on each could have you winning at least $100. I don’t mind taking that chance in the 3M Open – a tournament that usually doesn’t have some of the biggest names in golf. Here, we’re getting two of the best golfers in the world against a lesser field.
DJ is coming off back-to-back rounds of 80 last week in Ohio, so look for him to be fully focused this weekend. Meanwhile, Koepka has played some rounds of late that make it look like he could be back in peak form any week now.
Tommy Fleetwood (+1700) to win
Fleetwood was the first guy that jumped off the page for me this week. After all, he is well-rested, not playing in a tournament since early March. Some may say that could be a detriment, but not me. In fact, it was really the +1700 odds on Fleetwood that really stood out. This is quite the payday for a guy in prime position to put some birdies together.
Doc Redman (+5000) to win
Redman let us down last week at the Memorial Tournament by posting back-to-back 76s and missing the cut. Luckily, he will have had two extra days to prepare for this weekend and some motivation behind him to finally put it all together. Redman will likely be a popular play in DFS formats this weekend, and it comes with good reason as he can possibly win it all in Minnesota.
Sepp Straka (+8000) to win
Here’s one last long-shot bet for the people to have some fun with this weekend. Straka had two strong performances before the Memorial Tournament, finishing eighth (Rocket Mortgage Classic) and 14th (Workday Charity Open). Unfortunately, the 70s were running wild at the Memorial and Straka got caught up in the frenzy. This guy has been one of the up-and-comers since the PGA reboot, so let’s all watch together in admiration.
Good luck to whoever you decide to wager on this week, and enjoy the golf!