Ryan Lee previews the PGA 2020 Players Championship and picks out the best bets from TPC Sawgrass
Hi all! We are looking to pick another winner to make it our third week in a row! I am coming off back to back wins from the past two weeks including Sungjae Im at 66/1 and Tyrell Hatton at 60/1 hitting for some big payouts!
Course overview
- Course- TPC Sawgrass
- Yardage-7189 yardage
- Par 72
- Greens- Bermuda
- Previous winner- Rory Mcilroy
The players championship will be played at TPC Sawgrass which is a Pete Dye layout. The course consists of thin narrow fairways, tiny greens, and lots of water. TPC has the iconic 17th hole where the green is in the middle of the water. This can be the make or break hole in the 4th round.
Key Stats:
Strokes Gained (SG):
Approach is a very important key stat this week. SG: approach is meaningful at this course than almost any other course.
Also, SG: par 4, especially between 450-500 yards and SG: opportunities gained.
Picks
Lets just get Rory out of the way very quick. Rory has been on another level this year and by far the best golfer. This year he has a top 5 in his last 6 events. However, I am not betting Rory at 6/1. I don’t think it is a bad bet it is just not my preference. I would rather wait to live bet Rory if he starts off bad and I can find him with better odds.
Adam Scott- 35/1
Scotts previous 4 finishes at TPC have been 12th 11th 6th 12th and he wasn’t even playing his best prior to this event. Now Scott is in better recent form and I can see him making a run. The course suits Scott very well.
Webb Simpson- 33/1
Webb has been one of the best iron players out there. Consistent and accurate and this is what you need to have success at this course. His last 3 trips here he has a 16th 1st and 16th, and he can actually knows how to putt now!
Patrick Cantlay – 22/1
Cantlay has gained the 6th most strokes overall this year. Cantlay has a 22nd and 23rd in 2018 and 2017 at TPC which is nothing to go crazy over. However, This year Cantlay has not missed a cut – 7/7. Cantlay does have a 2nd and 4th this year. Last year Cantlay had lots of success and at some point, we should see him come back to that form. Cantlay has shown to come up in big spots and shoot super low in any given round. Is this the week he puts it all together?
Dustin Johnson – 30/1
Dustin has been flying under the radar a bit this year. He does have a 2nd, 7th and 10th this year but has not really been talked about. In the past years at the players championship he has the 5th most strokes gained overall. He has a 5th last year, and 17th in 2018.
Xander Schauffle- 25/1
We have seen Xander show up in Majors and big events. He has a runner up finish in 2018. Xander may be under the radar a bit and there may be some value at his odds. Could this be the week Schauffle puts it all together?
Longshots:
Jim Furyk- 175/1
Furyk has two runner up finishes at TPC including last year and 2014 by a single stroke. Furyk finished with a runner up last year. ( I live bet Furyk at 400/1 in this event after round 1) but he lost to Rory by 1 stroke *sigh* You can possibly find some value betting Furyk for a top 10 or Top 20.
Scottie Scheffler – 80/1
Has gotten up to 27th at one point in his rookie season. You have seen Scheffler on top of the leaderboard on several occasions. He just has not been able to put together 4 solid rounds. Again, a top 10 or 20 could also be a good bet.
