After going 2-2 in Week 3, Andrew Mengel returns with the best Prop Bets for Week of the 2019-20 NFL season.
Last week Trubisky proved me wrong—kind of, the Chiefs got it done in every quarter but the first, by my NFC East boys came through. My props went 2 for 4—.500. I’m not okay with mediocrity; I don’t want to be categorized with the Tennessee Titans or Andy Dalton.
Will Dissly Over 4.5 receptions, -112
The Seahawks’ tight end has been a force in the past two games, hauling in 11 catches on 12 targets. He’s also found the end zone three times. Seahawks.com’s John Boyle, predicted Dissly would have a massive role before the season began, so I think the last two weeks are microcosms for the rest of the season and particularly this game.
The Cardinals are probably the most exciting, bad team in the league. Kyle Murray is electric and breaking records! Last week he became the first quarterback with 173 yards on 30 completions. It’s the lowest amount of passing yards a quarterback has racked up, after completing 30 passes —didn’t say it was an impressive record. But the real shade should be thrown towards the defense. In 3 games, Arizona has allowed 20 catches for 318 yards and 4 touchdowns to opposing tight ends.
Oh, and Seattle traded their other pass-catching tight end, Nick Vannett, to the Steelers, allocating all of the Seahawks’ offensive snaps to Dissly.
Marlon Mack Over 89.5 rushing yards, -112
Ya know those Ezekiel Elliot memes, of him scarfing down a big bowl of cereal? Perhaps, Marlon Mack’s face should get photoshopped, because this dude gets fed. The Colts have become the league’s fourth-run-heaviest offense this season. With wideout, T.Y. Hilton probably playing less than 100 percent, expect the Colts to lean on Mack.
On the flip, The Raiders are 11th worst in the NFL in most fantasy points allowed to opposing running backs and are 7-point underdogs on the road. If game script goes as plan, Mack could even outdo his average of 4.9 yards per rush on 20 carries a game.
Mike Williams to score a Touchdown, YES +110
8 catches for 157 yards and no touchdowns, is certainly a disappointing start for the second-year wideout. But he’s bene hobbled: hurt Week 1, limited Week 2, but last week he played in just under 95% of the offensive plays. AND he already has 3 end zone targets this year. Combine that with that juicy, little-sisters-of-the-poor type secondary in Miami, I think Williams finally finds the end zone.
Daniel Jones Over 253.5 passing yards -112
Last week I told you I didn’t know who Daniel Jones is and aside from a new nickname, I still don’t after one game. But damn, did he look good, and he looked good without the Giants best player, Saquon Barkley.
I was impressed with Jones’s poise to come back from down 18 at half. He faces another weak Redskins defense, who’s allowed all three QBs they have faced this season—Carson Wentz, Dak Prescott and Mitch Trubsiky—to complete better than 70% of their passes with 3 touchdown passes. The Giants played aggressive last week too, as Jones averaged 9.45 air yards per target. Perhaps, Jones makes more mistakes this game, but I think he’ll continue to sling it.