Monday Night Football: Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers Preview, Prediction, and Pick

Game: Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers

Date & Time: Monday November 18th, 2019, 8:15 (EST)

Location: Estadio Azteca, Mexico City

The Line: Kansas City Chiefs -4.5, O/U 52.5

TV Channel: ESPN

NFL SEASON ATS RECORD: 37-28-2

Welcome to Mexico! These AFC West rivals travel south of the border for a key Week 11 matchup on MNF.

Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers Preview

Welcome to Mexico! In this AFC West matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Chargers, we’ll be taking a trip down south of the border. 

The Chiefs come into this game tied for 1st place in the AFC West with a 6-4 record, although they’re coming off a loss at the hands of the Titans in a shootout. The previous game brought the return of phenom QB Pat Mahomes, and he balled out in his return, throwing for 446 yards and 3 TD, albeit in a loss. 

For the Chiefs, their problem is clearly on the defensive side of the ball. They struggle to stop teams, and it was eye-opening to see a Ryan Tannehill lead offense score 35 points on them last week. The Chiefs are allowing 23.9 PPG, which isn’t horrible on the surface, but it’s been evident to this point that if they hope to go deep in the playoffs this season, it will be behind the right arm of Mahomes. 

The Chargers are on the verge of extinction this season. They come into this game with a 4-6 record, reeling off a loss to the Raiders last Thursday night in which they blew a late lead. 

With Philip Rivers in the twilight of his career and without a Super Bowl ring, the window may be slammed shut if this season doesn’t turn around. The Chargers have been on the wrong end of plenty of close games this season, and that has been their theme: they can’t close teams out.

This is the first meeting between these AFC West rivals, and it’s an important one for both teams. With a loss, the Chiefs would fall to 2nd place behind the Raiders, a team with a very easy schedule coming up. With a Chargers loss, they will be 4-7, staring at a Top-10 draft pick in a season with high expectations.

Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers Key Stats

  • All 6 of the Chargers losses have come by 7 points or less
  • The Chiefs and Chargers split their season series in 2018
  • This is the teams first meeting this season
  • The teams will play again in Week 17

Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers Betting Lines

  • The O/U for the game is 52.5
  • The Chiefs are 4.5 point favorites on Draftkings
  • The Chiefs are -225 on the ML, Chargers +195

Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers Spread Prediction

The Chiefs are 4.5 point favorites in this “road” contest, but with the game being played in Mexico City, it’s essentially a neutral site. Now that the Chiefs are at full strength, I expect their offense to keep humming. The only question I have is with their D, but the Chargers haven’t proven they can score much either, as they only average 20.7 PPG.

I’ve had faith in the Chargers in spots like this before, as they seem to play up to their competition. That being said, I’ve been burned too much by LA, and because of that, I’m taking KC with the points.

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