Daeshon Underwood picks out the three best bets from Wednesday’s Major League Baseball schedule.
Today we have a 15 game slate that is actually a pretty hard one to pin down. With my best bets I try to give you the best of both worlds in safety and value. Picking heavy favorites is easy to do but we are really trying to maximize our return on investments as well. This year I have noticed that the run totals and ERA’s have been higher than ever. In April we saw the second highest home run in history. In my eyes, this has increased the profitability of run lines and I have been taking full advantage of that. Receiving +100 odds on favored teams has led to much of my success throughout this season. Today I see plenty of opportunities to keep this trend going. We are currently 4-2 with our best bets.
White Sox @ Astros Pick
Here we have the Astros second ace Gerrit Cole (4-4 3.56 ERA) projected to take the mound. His record doesn’t show it but Cole has been great this year only allowing .197 batting average to lefties. He has close to 8 strikeouts in every game this year and he is facing a strikeout prone White Sox team. On monday Peacock had 9 k’s himself. If the prop bet for k’s is 8 or less take the over for Cole. Cole should also have great run support in this one with the Astros projected to face Ivan Nova (2-4 7.42 ERA) who is allowing over a .295 average to both lefties and righties. The Astros are currently 17-4 at home and should crush in this spot.
Braves @ Giants Pick
So far everyday this season I have considered betting against the marlins and or the giants. They are just playing so bad that every team looks like a world series contender against them. The Braves are actually primed for a deep playoff run so I wonder what they will look like… Hall of famers? Max Fried (6-2 2.86 ERA) is their projected pitcher and he has been phenomenal all season.His strikeout pitch is his knuckle curve with a 40% whiff rate. Looking through the Giants line-up none of them hit the curve knuckle well either so Fried is primed for a great performance I would consider taking the over for Fried strikeouts as well. The Braves bats have also been heating up as well. Acuna and Freeman have been crushing the ball lately having a combined seven home runs in there last five games. They are projected to face Jeff Samardzija (2-2 3.69 ERA) who has not been nearly as bad as he has in past years. He is giving up a .263 ISO to lefties, meaning lefties are hitting him very hard and this Braves line-up is stacked with lefties. Freeman, Markasis, Albies, and Acuna who is splits proof will provide some run supports for Fried.
Twins @ Angels Pick
The Twins and Angles have both been on fire this season. The twins have been showing this form all season while the Angels have gotten hot recently. Twins are still missing one there best bats in Nelson cruz but have been just been fine without him thanks to emerging stars Max Kepler and Eddie Rosario. Currently the Twins are second in the MLB in terms of batting average, they are just hitting the ball so well as team right now. They are projected to start Martin Perez (6-1 2.89 ERA) he has been solid but does let left lefties get on base. Luckily the Angles really only have three good lefties in their line-up Stella, Ohtani and Calhoun. Obviously you still have to worry about the Trout but considering he also has the huge Angels ballpark to help him avoid the home run ball he will be fine going through this Angels line. He also should receive run support with the Angels projected to pitch Matt Harvey (2-3 6.35 ERA) one of the worst pitchers in the MLB. Somehow he has a over an 8.00 ERA at home in this pitchers park. The Twins are lock here.