The MLB Trade Deadline looming and Jason Radowitz is looking at three games that will be safe ahead of the deadline.
The rumors are swirling around the league. Trades are beginning to form and teams are beginning to make headlines for their acquisitions. The deadline is Wednesday at 4pm. Usually within the remaining 48 hours of the deadline, there’s chaos. Hear me out. Bad teams trade their best players and the good teams trade prospects. Meaning, the contending teams don’t lose anyone on their current roster while the bad teams lose their best pieces and get worse. A lot of the talk going into the deadline is featured around Noah Syndergaard of the New York Mets. Right now, it seems likely that “Thor” will stay put, but you just never know. Syndergaard is scheduled to pitch Tuesday night in Chicago. It could be his audition for another team or he could be a late scratch. Or nothing happens. It’s a tough game to bet on. However, you can bet on a game between two contending teams. Both teams will only try to get better, allowing you to know for sure that the rosters won’t change much unless they add a piece (which would be better anyway.) If you locked in my picks on Saturday, you would’ve profited. I went 2-1 on Saturday with the Dodgers and Braves winning by substantial margins. Here are my picks for Tuesday’s games as I try to continue adding profit.
Rays @ Red Sox 7:10 pm
The Red Sox (59-48) and Rays (60-48) both sit behind the Yankees in the AL East by 8-9 games. The Red Sox and Rays are knocking on the door for the two AL Wild Card spots. They’re each about game behind Oakland for the second AL Wild Card. They’re both buying. They’re both contenders. The Rays are sending out their most reliable pitcher (and maybe the only healthy starter) in Charlie Morton (12-3 2:60 ERA) but he’s going to have a tough task up against Boston’s David Price (7-4 3.66 ERA). Although the Rays won their previous serious against the Blue Jays, they had their own concerns in the last two games. The Rays blew a seven run in Game 2 of the series, only to come back from
a seven-run deficit in Game 3 of the series and win. The Red Sox took three of four games from the first place Yankees, finally showing some signs of life in which they desperately needed. Red Sox’ David Price is 28-9 all-time in Fenway Park with a 3.06 ERA. Boston’s bats are .301 in the month of July and they’re averaging 7.1 runs a game during this stretch. With the way the Red Sox are hitting, along with Price’s stats at Fenway Park, I’m riding with the Red Sox here on the moneyline.
Pirates @ Reds 7:10 pm
The Pirates (46-60) have lost nine straight games. They’ve been dreadful. In two straight games, the Pirates pitching has allowed at least six runs in a single inning. The Pirates defense isn’t helping their cause either. They’ve had four errors in those two games. The Pirates are sellers at the deadline. Potential trade candidates include Felipe Vazquez (they’re only reliable bullpen arm), Melky Caberera, Francisco Liriano and Corey Dickerson. You get the point. They might be without these guys in the very near future. The Reds (49-55) are also sellers at the deadline, though. They’ve got some more intriguing players that could be up for grabs. It’s hard to know where exactly the Reds stand at the deadline but Scooter Gennett and Raisel Iglesias seem like the likely candidates to be on the move. The Reds might not have their closer. This is a game between two teams at potential selling points. Here’s my selling point: Pirates starter Joe Musgrove (7-9 4.29 ERA) will get the Pirates back on track against the Reds’ Tanner Roark (6-6 3.95 ERA). Earlier this season, Musgrove threw seven scoreless innings against the Reds. He’s thrown nine innings against the Reds this season and hasn’t allowed a single run. Add on Reds current batters hitting 13-58 (.224 avg) and it feels like the Pirates will get this season turned around… at least for one game. The Pirates haven’t had trouble hitting the ball recently. In their last two games they’ve scored a combined 13 runs. In Roark’s only game against the Pirates, he lasted five innings, while allowing three runs in a loss. As long as Musgrove pitches a quality start, I expect the Pirates to win this game.
Twins @ Marlins 7:10 pm
The Twins (64-41) are sending out Jake Odorizzi (11-5 3.84 ERA) in an interleague match-up against the Marlins (41-63) who will be starting Zac Gallen (1-2 2.76 ERA), another Marlins rookie sensation. Odorizzi is coming off his worst start of the season, allowing nine runs to the hot hitting Yankees last week. That Yankees/Twins series was something else when it comes to power. There were a couple bright spots for Odorizzi as he retired seven batters of 12 via the strikeout. On the other hand, Zac Gallen is coming off his best career start, stretching himself to seven innings of quality work against the Chicago White Sox allowing two hits and striking out 9. I’ve got news for you. The White Sox aren’t the Twins when it comes to hitting. The Twins team batting average is second in baseball at .270 and they also average just below two homers a game (over two homers on the road!!!). The Twins could be his first rude awakening of Gallen’s young career. Plus, the Marlins, sitting at the bottom in the National League, could look to move a couple vets before the deadline. The Twins will not be trading anyone on their 25-man roster. They might add to it, though. I’m rolling with the Twins on the road with the moneyline.