It’s June 2nd, 2019 and Dae Bets is giving you his best bets (9-4 this season). Not only giving you picks with safety but value as well.
Last month the record was broken for most home runs in one month. This means more runs are being scored resulting in increased odds of teams covering the run line and adding value to your bets.
Tomorrow will be an early day for me and I wouldn’t have it any other way. Running from 1pm until there is another massive 15 game slate for us to go through and pick our spots. So far this year we have seen a month with the second highest home rate in history and a month with the most home runs ever. As I said in my last article at this point there are very few pitchers I trust, anyone and everyone is getting blow up. On smaller slates it is becoming difficult to pick your locks of the day but on these huge 15-game slates it still is very possible to find a few spots you think are locks. With the abundance of runs being scored even if you only like huge favorites just slap the run line on your wager to increase the odds. It has been my recipe from the start of the season and I don’t plan on stopping now.
Detroit @ Braves 1:20PM
I will be going right back to the braves today. They did their job yesterday taking down Detroit 10-5. I see a similar script happening here only with less runs. Teheran (3-4 3.53 ERA) has been fantastic against right handed batters only allowing .190 batting average. He has also been much better in home games compared to away owning a 2.35 ERA at home. We also know how bad these Detroit batters are. I was very surprised they were able to score more than one run against my guy Soroka. Detroit is projected to have their ace Matthew Boyd (5-4 2.85 ERA) take the mound which will result in great value in the Braves money line because many people rather just stay away when Boyd is involved. In my eyes this Braves lineup is pitcher proof especially when Boyd will receive little to no run support. After a 10 run game i think the Braves keep the ball rolling and knock Boyd down a notch.
Brewers @ Pittsburg 1:35PM
As I am writing this I am praying that the Brewers cover the run line it is 10-10 in the top of tenth and can’t believe what is happening. Anyway this will definitely fatigue both teams but hurt the Pirates a lot more than the Brewers. The Pirates already have an injury riddled bullpen, this is going to put even more stress on small amount pitchers they have left. For that reason alone the Brewers are a lock for me. Combine that with the fact that Davies (5-0 2.19 ERA) is on the mound makes this an easy pick. I will never be afraid on anyone the Pirates other that Mr.Bell himself and he is just not enough to take on these lefty power bats on the Brewers. They will be facing off against Jordan Lyles (6-2 3.09 ERA) who’s stats look very good on the cover but by reading the book you see he is due for regression. Against lefties he is allowing a .268 batting
average in addition to a 43% fly ball rate. These Power bats on the Brewers should be able to take advantage and force him out of the game in hopes of getting to the Pirates terrible bullpen.
Marlins @ Padres 6:10PM
Last but not least we will be heading across the country over to San Diego where the Padres will take on the Marlins. Matt Strahm (2-4 3.21 ERA) is projected to take the mound for the Padres and like any pitcher he will have boost going against the Marlins. Strahm should have more wins in my opinion but the Padres have not been giving him any run support. He been fantastic against righties only allowing a .210 batting average. The Padres bats are also heating up having won seven of there last ten. They are set to face Marlins projected pitcher Garrett Richards (2-5 3.82 ERA). RIchards is allowing a 49% hard hit rate and .330 wOBA to righties with only the Marlins lineup to back him up. He also throws a changeup 40% of the time and all of these Padres hit the changeup pretty well. I think they get the job done easily. We’re talking about the Marlins… .