Jerome Taylor shares his thoughts on the Kansas City Chiefs’ upcoming season after their 2019/20 Super Bowl victory and shares his best bets.
The Kansas City Chiefs come into the NFL season looking to accomplish the hardest thing in professional sports: repeat as champion. The Chiefs return most of their Super Bowl roster and signed their crown jewel, Patrick Mahomes, to the richest contract in NFL history.
Mahomes will be entering his fourth NFL season and already has a Super Bowl and MVP on the mantle. In the 2020 season, he will look to stay healthy and continue to add accolades to his already impressive resume. Creating an opportunity for the couch competitors to check out the bets surrounding his team before they take the field.
Kansas City Super Bowl Odds (+600)
The Chiefs have the best odds to win the super bowl this year, for good reason. They are returning the majority of the production that won them the Lombardi. The offense returns all six of their 200-yard receivers this year and add Clyde Edwards-Helaire. He will be an upgraded receiving option out of the backfield.
Kansas City will also come into 2020 with the 10th easiest projected schedule. A team with this much talent all over the field helmed by one of the greatest offensive minds in football history in Andy Reid will surely have a chance at repeating.
Kansas City Win Total Over 11.5 (-121)
Winning 12 games in the NFL is a feat most teams will be proud of. But when you are a coming off a Super Bowl and have quite possibly the most talented player of his generation leading you up and down the field, it becomes almost expected.
The Chiefs have won 12 games in three of their last four seasons. The standard has been set. Last year the team went 12-4, and they relied on Matt Moore to lead them for three of those games. A healthy Patrick Mahomes, who still has room to improve (more on that later), will be looking to lead his team to a one-seed in the playoffs, and winning more than 11 games is a virtual must for that to happen.
Mahomes over 4500.5 yards (-110) & Over 34.5 TDs (-110)
The thing that had to be keeping defensive coordinators up at night this offseason is that Patrick Mahomes has not hit his peak yet. Mahomes raw numbers jump off the stat sheet, and his throws from obscure angles dominate the timeline during the season. But there are still places for him to improve, which is why it seems very likely he will throw for over 4,500 yards and 34 touchdowns for the second time in his career.
Last year, Mahomes played in 13 full games, and he threw for 4,031 yards. A full 16 games puts the 4,500-yard mark in reach. As for the touchdowns, just look at the playoff run from last year, where Mahomes threw for ten touchdowns over three games.
The scoring outbursts that left opposing defenses and fans shaking their heads last season can happen more frequently this year. The Chiefs ranked 25th in red zone passing efficiency last year (footballoutsiders.com). It is safe to assume that statistic will be improved this year, creating more touchdown chances for Mahomes.
Not to mention Mahomes himself can improve as a passer (scary right?), last year he made plays of 20 yards or more on 11% of his drop backs (12th in the NFL). He completed 45.8% of those passes (18th in the NFL) (Sports Info Solutions). If Mahomes takes another step in his development as a passer in year four, these bets might hit before the Chiefs even clinch a playoff spot.