Daniel Wettstein Previews Game 6 of the NBA Playoff series between the Denver Nuggets and Utah Jazz and shares his best bets after Denver brought the series to 3-2.
It only took 5 games, but the things I have been pounding finally came to fruition. The Utah Jazz came back to earth from 3-point range. The Nuggets gave energy on defense and stopped just watching things happen. They held Utah to less than 124 points for the first time in the series. After giving up 63 in the first half, and looking completely flat coming out of the break.
Then the Nuggets got the game of his life from Jamal Murray for the second night in a row. He slashed 42 pts./8 reb./8 assists, and most importantly zero turnovers. This gave him a +21 plus/minus. Every one of these stats led the Nuggets.
People have been asking for years who was the alpha between him and Nikola Jokic. Games 4 and 5 have shown just who the alpha is, the Blue Arrow. Just look at this break down of what Murray did in just those 2 games:
It was an absolute joy to watch Murray take the game over mid-way through the 3rd-quarter energizing his entire team. A switch flipped at 2:18 left in the 3rd where the Nuggets ended the quarter on an 8-2 run to cut the Utah lead in half. From the beginning of the 4th-quarter to the final whistle, the Denver Nuggets dominated and exerted their will on the defensive end for the first time in the series.
The Nuggets only had 2 starters with a negative plus/minus (Milsap -11/M. Morris -18). While the Jazz only had 2 players total with a positive plus/minus. They were bench players Juwan Morgan and Tony Bradley who barely played 10 mins. combined.
I look at all these trends continuing in Game 6 with Denver sending their 3rd straight playoff series to 7. The fact the Nuggets are still being given 2 pts. in the spread, has me happy to grab this line from DraftKings Sportsbook:
This goes in-hand with this player prop for Jamal Murray Pts. Total Over/Under at 27.5 from DraftKings:
I am also happy to take the Moneyline in this game for the same reasons as last time. The line is also from DraftKings:
How drastically Utah’s 3-point shooting fell off a cliff in Game 5 makes this is the first time I am comfortable with taking the under. As that defensive energy to close the win for the Nuggets is another trend I see spilling over into Game 6.
Another great line from DraftKings here:
All things going according to plan will have Denver floating much more than a mile high. A lot like this majestic shot from the Blue Arrow I will leave you with:
— Daniel Wettstein (@DanWettsteinII) August 26, 2020