Jason Radowitz (20-13) provides you with his five best bets for Saturday’s Week 8 Action.
Week 8 is here. We had a big upset last week with South Carolina defeating Georgia outright in double overtime. I had that covered. I’ll give myself a pat on the back. I’m now 20-13 with my college football bets since Week 2. There’s some quality football games this week, but none that will compare to Michigan/Penn State. If you want my preview and best bet for that one, click here. This week, I see a lot of value in the underdogs. To find out which underdogs, you’ll have to take a look down low.
9 Florida (6-1) @ South Carolina (3-3) at 12:00 EST
If you saw my picks last week, you know I picked South Carolina +21 last week. I said the game will be a lot closer. And it was. South Carolina stuck together and won in overtime in last week’s thrilling upset.
Florida took a 14 loss to LSU but their offense actually looked A LOT better than most expected. Trask has a lot of talent receiving the ball and it showed Saturday night in Death Valley. Florida’s defense struggled against LSU but ultimately they’ve been very good as a unit most of the season. After all, South Carolina’s offense wasn’t spectacular and Ryan Hilinski, the freshman quarterback for USC is badly injured. He’s expected to play, but that doesn’t really add up.
I’ll roll with Florida -5. Too much love for the South Carolina upset. Won’t happen this week. Florida should cruise on by.
(12) Oregon (5-1) @ (25) Washington (5-2) at 3:30pm EST
We’re all waiting three weeks to watch Tua and Burrow. But we get the next best thing in this match-up. Justin Herbert vs. Jacob Eason. Herbert has 17 touchdowns, one interception and Eason has 13 touchdowns, three interceptions.
Washington actually has the better ground game with Salvon Ahmed who has six touchdowns and averaging 5.8 yards per carry.
Oregon’s defense has been fantastic this season, allowing double figures in just one game this season. Washington has a solid defense but did allow Arizona to score 27 points, basically because they couldn’t stop scoring offensively.
Washington has been inconsistent this season but Oregon has kind of played struggling teams recently. They struggle against good teams. Washington is a good team. If they’re getting points at home, I’ll happily take it and watch Washington potentially even win a close game at home in a big-time Pac-12 QB match-up.
Temple (5-1) @ (19) SMU (6-0) at 3:30pm EST
Hey look! Another undefeated team (this time at home!) SMU can score at home. They’ve scored 43 (triple OT), 47, 49 in three wins at home. They’ve upset a 25 TCU on the road by a three point margin.
Every single SMU game against a somewhat quality opponent was a close finish. Temple is coming off a big win after welcoming Memphis, a top 25 opponent to their place. They won 30-28. They’ve beat Georgia Tech 24-2. Their only loss came against Buffalo on the road. It seems like an outlier to me.
I’ll take Temple in this one. I get a touchdown plus an extra .5!
(18) Baylor (6-0) @ Oklahoma State (4-2) at 4:00pm EST
Baylor is undefeated coming into Week 8. Ok, they’ve had a weak schedule. I know. But they beat Iowa State, Kansas State, and Texas Tech (even if two of those were close ones.) They’re finding ways to win and they’re staying in games.
Oklahoma State just lose to Texas Tech on the road after allowing 45 points. They’ve allowed 45, 26, 36 (x2), 21, 14 (against McNeese.) Their defense sucks. Baylor’s defense is not nearly as bad. They stopped Kansas State to just 12 points. Texas Tech scored two less touchdowns.
Oklahoma State is at home. They’re -4 point favorites. I’d rather take the team that’s undefeated, has the better defense, and can score points against a low quality defense. +4 to an undefeated Baylor team! I’m in!
(17) Arizona State (5-1) @ (13) Utah (5-1) at 6:00pm EST
It’s a 17-13 match-up yet Utah is a 14 point favorite. Since taking over at Arizona State, Herm Edwards is 8-3 ATS as an underdog. He’s 5-1 ATS as a road underdog. This game should be kind of low scoring. Defense should take over and scoring might come more at a premium than one might think.
The one thing I love about Jayden Daniels, freshman QB at Arizona State, is that he has 1 interception through six games. He’s been impressive. In a defensive game, you have to make sure the underdog pick won’t turn the ball over much to ruin the score. It won’t happen with Daniels. Give me the two touchdowns.