Although there have been some postponements in College Football this week, there are still plenty of exciting match-ups in the Top 25 to look out for. Here are best bets for some of the most anticipated match-ups in College Football.
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(15) Auburn vs South Carolina Saturday, Oct 17 at 12:00pm EST, ESPN
Auburn came away with a win over Arkansas last Saturday when Arkansas really should’ve won. Yes, American Betting Experts writer, Kevin Davis, had Arkansas to win as an upset pick last week and should’ve won it.
I feel for him. It might be time to get our revenge with South Carolina.
Auburn, like most SEC teams, haven’t looked like “usual” Auburn. Bo Nix has just four touchdowns thrown in three games for under 600 yards passing. The offense is scoring just 21.7 points per game and will take on a tough defense in South Carolina.
South Carolina is 1-2 on the season but they’ve allowed just 330.3 yards per game on defense, including keeping their opponents rushing total under 100 yards, at 96.3 yards per game.
Not only has South Carolina looked good defensively against the run, but they’ve looked solid running the football, averaging 165 yards on the ground per game while Auburn has allowed 155.3 yards per game on the ground.
Auburn’s offense is gaining just 328.7 yards per game and barely rely on the passing game as Auburn averages under 200 yards per game throwing the football.
If Auburn relies on the run and South Carolina plays the defense they’re capable of, an upset could take place.
South Carolina doesn’t have the best offense in the world. However, they still scored 27 against Tennessee and 24 against Florida along with 41 against Vanderbilt.
They’ll put up points against Auburn. It’s whether or not the Auburn offense turns the corner or if South Carolina continues their solid defense.
Pick: South Carolina +3.5 (-115) via Draft Kings
Pittsburgh vs (13) Miami Saturday, Oct 17 at 12:00pm EST, ACCN
We thought Miami was back. Until they faced Clemson and lost 42-17. Clemson’s the number one team in the country and have destroyed ACC competition for quite a while now.
Nothing will change this season. But Miami needs to prove that they can beat those mid-tier ACC programs.
Pittsburgh is a tough opponent.
They’re averaging 263.4 yards allowed on defense per game this season, which is one of the best defense in terms of yards per game this season.
Pitt has held teams to just 52 yards on the ground per game this season and 211 yards in the air. Miami has averaged 426.8 yards per game this season and average nearly 200 yards on the ground.
Miami might break out a run or two but Pittsburgh’s rushing defense should do enough to at least limit Miami from getting 200 yards on the ground.
Pittsburgh is still averaging 31.6 points per game. So while the defense has stepped up, the offense has done more than enough to help their case.
Miami’s defense is allowing 420.3 yards per game with nearly 250 yards passing and almost 175 yards on the ground. Pittsburgh will get their points. Miami allowed 34 points to a Louisville team that continues to turn the ball over.
But look, these numbers are small sample sizes and Miami clearly has more talent on their defense compared to Pittsburgh.
But a 14-point favorite? I don’t think so. Pittsburgh just lost two straight games by one point to NC State and Boston College. If they came away with those two games, they’d be 5-0 and we’d be talking about how great this ACC match-up is.
Pitt isn’t losing by two scores behind senior leader Kenny Pickett.
Pick: Pittsburgh +13.5 (-109) via Draft Kings
(3) Georgia vs (2) Alabama Saturday, Oct 17 at 8:00pm EST, CBS
Alabama head coach, Nick Saban, has tested positive for Coronavirus. Saban won’t be coaching Alabama on Saturday and because of that, the line dropped from -6 for Alabama to -4 for Alabama.
Alabama are still favorites in this football game. They’re scoring 51 points per game and averaging 560.3 yards on offense per game. But one thing Alabama has not done well this season is play defense.
The team is allowing 473 yards per game defensively, including 322.3 yards in the air and 150.7 yards on the ground.
Alabama played in a shootout against Ole Miss, winning 63-48. Before that game, Alabama dropped 52 on Texas A&M, and 38 on Missouri. The offense continues to improve game after game but the defense hasn’t.
On the other hand, Georgia has had the one defense in the SEC that has been consistently good this season. But the question is if it’ll be enough against an Alabama offense that leads the nation in points per game.
Georgia is holding opponents to 12.3 points per game and just 236.7 yards per game. Opponents are gaining 38.3 yards on the ground per game and under 200 yards passing.
No, Georgia hasn’t played bad teams. They’ve defended against Arkansas, Auburn, and Tennessee. Two teams ranked in the top 25 and Arkansas, a team that has looked solid their last two games and should literally be on a two-game winning streak.
Before the season started, Georgia was nervous they wouldn’t have a reliable quarterback. JT Daniels wasn’t cleared to play and Georgia was scrambling through their options.
They found Stetson Bennett who has now thrown for 689 yards and five touchdowns without an interception.
Georgia has the playmakers and average 420 yards on offense. This offense isn’t nearly as good as Alabama’s, but the fact of the matter is, Georgia’s defense should get enough stops to keep Georgia in the game for the full game.
