Champions League Group Stage Day 4: Halfway Through The Group Stages And It’s Getting Hot Hot Hot


The Champions League is back in action which will make this work week feel so much shorter. Thank the lord. There is nothing better than having your desktop look super busy with a tiny window at the bottom of your computer screen where you can keep an eye on the games. Unless you have a TV at the office where your colleagues are watching together, that is not the case for me. So let me get extra excited about this.

It’s been a rollercoaster of a ride betting these Champions League games that saw us go from 9-1 to 3-7 real quick, But after some adjusting and realignments of the wires in my brain, I have been hot in the Premier League leading up to these slate of games. But we are halfway through the Group Stage of the Champions League and here is a little recap of the current group standings. PSG is dominating Group A as Real Madrid only has a 2 point ‘cushion’ from Club Brugge for second place. Bayern is dominating Group B with Tottenham only having a 1 point lead over 3rd place Red Star. Manchester City are dominant in their group as Dinamo Zagrab and Shakhtar will battle it out for the playoff spot in Group C. Juve and Atletico look close to being safely through to the knockout stages, but who will secure first place of Group D? Napoli are surprisingly at the top of Group E with Liverpool having a 3 point lead in second place. Groups F, G, and H are all toss-ups which will make these next 3 champions league games a must-watch.



Zenit St. Petersburg vs RB Leipzig

Zenit is having a pretty damn impressive start to their Champions League campaign beating Benfica and inching out a draw versus Lyon. Sardar Azmoun has been the Russians scoring force with his 2 goals so far in the competition along with Russian veteran Artem Dzyuba turning back the clocks with his contributions to the teams success. RB Leipzig did not have much luck against Lyon as that team was the only defeat the Bundesliga side has suffered in their first half of the group stages. However, Zenit wasn’t able to capitalize on their early lead against Leipzig as they lost 2-1 thanks to a strong second half by the German side.


  • Zenit have yet beaten Leipzig in European competition (3 attempts)
  • Zenit have won last 14 group stage matches at home
  • Leipzig have scored 14 goals in their last two games

If you haven’t been paying attention to German soccer, not only should you note that my Frankfurt Eagles embarrassed Bayern Munich and got Niko Kovac fired, but RB Leipzig beat Wolfsburg 6-1 and followed up by beating Mainz 8-0 in their previous to fixtures in all competitions. Yea. That is one hot team. I can’t give much insight into Zenit because they are attempting to stop a derailed runaway train that is engulfed by flames and powered by Red Bull. RB Leipzig and Over doesn’t get better.

Chelsea vs. Ajax

Chelsea returns to the Champions League after their impressive away win against the dutchmen of Ajax. It was a neck-and-neck battle in Amsterdam but after some crucial substitutions from Frank Lampard showed to be the right move as subs Pulisic and Batshuayi provided the connection for a big Chelsea win. Chelsea created the more dangerous opportunities and Batshuayi skied a half volley before he was able to sky his shot at the top of the net. Chelsea have not put their foot off the gas pedal since that win, although they lost to Manchester United, Chelsea was still the more dominant team.


  • Ajax have never lost a CL away match in England (4 trips)
  • Chelsea have a 100% win record vs. Dutch teams
  • Ajax won last 5 away CL matches

Chelsea are in great form right now. They are managing to get shots in front of the net and are able to control the game more than their first few games at the start of this season. When they traveled to Ajax, it almost looked like the Blues were playing against boys, and I mean that in the most literal way possible because it looked like towering men playing the youth squad. I think this is just the start for the Blues because once they figure out how to put the ball in the net consistently, Super Frank may have his first managerial trophy sooner than we thought.

Dortmund vs. Inter Milan

Inter Milan successfully defended the San Siro when Dortmund came to visit, winning 2-0 after a lacking offense that seems to be the story of their Champions League campaign. Although Dortmund have scored the second-most goals in the Bundesliga so far, they have only scored two goals in their three Champions League fixtures. Granted to them it’s the group of death, but you can’t win games if you don’t score those goals, duuuh. Inter are on a role with Martinez and Lukaku as they continue to press Juventus in the Serie A and a potential run for the Champions League trophy. But the winner of this matchup will likely go through to the knockout stages, pending other results.


  • Dortmund has never beaten Inter in 3 previous home European fixtures
  • Dortmund have failed to score in 6 of last 8 CL fixtures
  • Inter have lost their last 3 away CL fixtures

Dortmund have slowly creeped their heads out of their asses since their loss to Inter in the previous Champions League slate. But Dortmund has been a no-show in this competition which leads me to look for some statistical help to make a winning prediction. And usually when I do that, the teams tie the game. I do think this will be a high scoring affair. Flip a coin to decide the winner for this fixture, but the Over is a for sure winner.

Bayer Leverkusen vs. Atletico Madrid

Bayer Leverkusen host Spanish giants Atletico Madrid as the Bundesliga team look for their first point in their Champions League campaign. Leverkusen recently lost to Atletico 1-0 that could be deemed as a moral victory for the German side. Even though Atletico controlled most of the game, had more dangerous opportunities, and broke the deadlock in the 78th minute, the moral victory still counts fro Leverkusen. But Atletico look to demolish Leverkusen on Wednesday as the spaniards haven’t won their last two games, notably tying Valencia most recently. But I love this game because the oddsmakers are making it too easy for us degenerates.


  • Bayer are winless in 4 CL fixtures vs. Atletico
  • Bayer are 1 of 2 clubs to lose first 3 CL fixtures this year
  • Atletico is looking for a consecutive CL away win, first since 2016

There is no secret that Atletico is going to travel home with three more points after Wednesday. If anything this is a gift from the gambling gods as the lines are close to even between the two teams. It will be an astonishing if Bayer Leverkusen come out of this game somewhat alive, but the Atletico Madrid Money Line is a banger and a half!

Atalanta vs. Manchester City

The dead dogs of Atalanta try to transfer their Serie A form into the Champions League after three previous failed attempts to accumulate some points in Group C. It will be a tough last 3 games for the Italian side as they try and erase some of the goal difference they have suffered, thanks to Dinamo Zagreb and Manchester City. Speaking of City, they had a shaky performance against Southampton who were previously thumped by Leicester. But there is a big reason why I like this game a lot.


  • Manchester City Over
  • Manchester City averages 2.71 goals at home / 3.00 goals away
  • Manchester City Over

The Over and Manchester City have made a deal with the devil to the extent where I won’t know where to look when this streak ends for the Cityzens. This addiction of betting the Over I have for Manchester City has been so rewarding and so euphoric to the point where the oddsmakers could tally the lines at 6 goals and I would still bet that Over. Although on weekend, the oddsmakers tallied the City – Southampton game Over/Under at 4.5 goals where I just had to bet the Under and clearly made the right choice. But not for this fixture because the Over is hitting the moon!

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