Daeshon Underwood is back with his best bets for Monday’s baseball slate.
Sorry for the wait, but I’m back! Today, we are jumping right back into regularly scheduled baseball best bets and I will be giving you the inside tips and picks you need to CASH OUT. Today is a very small 5-game slate but if you are looking in the right spots the value is still there. Let’s get the ball rolling. Currently my “best bets” record is 28-14 on the season.
Phillies @ Nationals 7:05pm
Patrick Corbin is the best pitcher on this slate and it’s always good to take a look at who the best pitcher is facing. Today he will be taking on a Phillies team that is pretty much eliminated from playoff contention unless they win out. He has been elite in his last six games holding a 4-2 record and a 2.05 ERA and I love him in this spot. The Phillies have been struggling to say the least. They were the favorite to win the division after they signed superstar Bryce Harper. Now, they are five games out of the wild card. The Phillies hitters should also have some trouble against Corbin. Only Cesar Hernandez has positive history against him. Zach Eflin will be pitching for the Phillies. He has also been phenomenal, in his last seven, he is 2-1 with a 2.16 ERA. However, Eflin is facing a tough Nationals line-up which is ranked 7th in the league in batting average. You have to give the edge to the Nationals in this one. Their lineup is better and they have the best pitcher in the match up. However, I do think Corbin and Eflin will be able to keep this game low scoring.
Marlins @ Mets 7:10pm
Caleb Smith (9-10 4.24 ERA) started the year as one of the best pitchers in the MLB but has come back down to earth in his recent games. In his last seven games, he is 2-4 and has a 5.73 ERA. In those games, he has given up over three runs to the Diamondbacks, Reds, Brewers, and Nationals. He will be taking on a hot Mets lineup at Citi Field where the Mets always play better. On the other side of the mound, the Mets are rolling out Steven Matz (10-9 4.16 ERA) who has been very solid other than his last appearance against the Rockies at Coors Field. Then again, you never really know what to expect on the Coors Field. Other than that blemish, he hasn’t allowed more than 2 runs in his last 8 starts. He also has a much easier match up than Smith as the Marlins are 25th in the league in batting average while the Mets are 11th. The Mets are also 43-31 at home while the Marlins are 25-50 in away games. Lastly, if you haven’t noticed Pete Alonso has been on a tear. I will take a Pete home run prop bet against a lefty any day.
Red Sox @ Rays 7:10pm
I love the rays in this match up. First of all, they are lefty dominant taking on a terrible right handed pitcher in Jhoulys Chachin (3-11 5.66 ERA). Part of his problem is giving up tremendous power to both lefties and righties. He is allowing over a .200 ISO to lefties and righties. These consistent bats on the Rays should be able to take full advantage of Chacin’s pitching. As for the Ray pitcher Blake Snell (6-7 4.19 ERA), he was my favorite pitcher coming into the season but injuries have derailed his performance all season long. However, there are two bright spots in this match up for Snell. He has been much better at home with a 2.82 ERA and he seems to have control over right handed bats only allowing a .223 batting average against them (best Red Sox bats Martinez and Bets are both right handed). For these two reasons, I think he will limit the damage in this matchup and the Rays will prevail.