It’s June 1st, 2019 and Dae Bets is giving you his best bets (8-4 this season). Not only giving you picks with safety but value as well. This year we have been seeing more home runs than ever before. This means increased odds of teams covering the run line and adding value to your bets!
Just like that we are through the another month of baseball and what did we learn? The Twins are a legit playoff worthy team, Bellinger and Bell are here to stay, and not one pitcher’s ERA is safe. Runs are being scored at a blistering pace and at these rates they are poised to smash multiple records. The Twins are currently on pace to destroy the Yankees record for home runs in one season. But it isn’t just them every team is hitting home runs. In May, we saw the second highest home run rate of all time in one month. At this point, there are very few pitchers I trust in the league. Luckily, three of those pitchers happen to be included in this marathon 15 game slate. Starting at 1pm there will be great games to watch up until the late night hours. I will be sure to give you something to watch throughout the day. 8-4 with our best bets so far.
Tigers @ Braves 4:10
This is the easiest game to pick on the slate. My favorite pitcher in the league is projected to take the mound for the Braves Mike Soroka (5-1 1.07 ERA). I have bet on him every game of his career he and has only failed once. He has nasty stuff including his strikeout pitch the change-up holding a 48% whiff rate. He is elite and has budding and current superstars behind him. They are projected to face Tigers pitcher Daniel Norris (2-3 4.18 ERA) who is currently allowing a .299 batting average to righties. Not to mention Detroit batters have been terrible all season with a .225 batting average which is the 3rd worst in the league. With Acuna, Freeman, Riley, and Albies providing run support for Soroka the Braves should dominate in the spot. I’ll take the positive odds on the run line.
Cubs @ Cardinals 7:10
The Cardinals should have great value here as no one likes betting against Cubs. However, the Cardinals will pull out the win. They have been struggling as of late, but I see this as a breakout game for them. A divisional game that could jump start them and get them on the road to a divisional title. Flaherty (4-3 3.77 ERA) has been solid so far this year. He gives the Cards a chance to win everytime he is on the mound. He is only allowing a .210 batting average to righties and .246 average to lefties. He is also playing at home where he has a 2.09 ERA much better the his 6+ ERA in away games. The Cubs bats definitely are not bad but I believe in Flaherty and his slider. Only Rizzo and Bryant have over a .300 wOBA against the slider. They will be facing off against Jose Quintana (4-4 3.73 ERA) who was recently lit up by the Reds by giving up five runs before being pulled in the sixth. On the road he is allowing about a .300 batting average. That combined with the fact he is lefty, makes me feel very confident that the
Cards can get to him. Therefore I will be take the good money line price we receive on the cardinals. Oh and I forgot the Cubs Bullpen is TERRIBLE.
Astros @ Athletics 10:10
If the value is here I will love this game. Bregman, Correa, and Altuve are all out so I am expecting that the Astros will have a good price in the match up with Verlander (8-2 2.38 ERA) on the mound. Verlander is still a top five pitcher in the league not much needs to be said. With Krush Davis still out and Matt Olsen trying to find his form, I am not afraid of any bat on the Athletics. Athletics projected pitcher Brett Anderson (6-3 3.86 ERA) has given up four runs in two of last four starts. His favorite pitch is the fastball sinker which multiple Astros hit well including Bregman. I could see Bregman going yard and Chirinos or White with Anderson allowing a 40% hard hit rate to righties. With Astros being away and Verlander on the mound, I will find my value in the run line regardless of if the money line is to my liking.